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2024-12-14 10:29:56

Clown won the TGA Best Indie Game Award.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.China, Shimao Group, Sunac China, Longhu Group, R&F Property, Longguang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China, Vanke, China Overseas Development, Ocean Shipping Group, Agile, Yuexiu Property and Xincheng Development all fell by over 9%, 6% and 5% respectively.


Consumer stocks of Hong Kong stocks fell, with Budweiser Asia Pacific (01876.HK) and China Resources Beer (00291.HK) falling more than 5%, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) and Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) falling 4%, and Li Ning (02331.HK) and Anta Sports (02020.HK) falling more than 3%.The implementation of personal pension system will bring multiple impacts. According to CCTV news, the implementation of personal pension system will have a far-reaching impact on China's old-age security system. This system aims to improve the multi-level old-age security system, encourage individuals to participate in old-age savings, and improve the level of life security after retirement. In addition, the establishment of individual pension accounts will provide new business growth points for financial institutions and help the development of the capital market. On the whole, this move is expected to promote the transformation of the concept of social pension and promote the sustainable development of the pension service industry.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.


Faba Bank: Some people think that Trump's policies (especially tariffs) will not cause inflation. However, market analysts have been misled and need to take Trump's tariff policy seriously.South Korean police said on the 13th that they were considering detaining and searching the correspondence records of President Yin Xiyue and the presidential residence. (Xinhua News Agency)Ministry of Finance of Thailand: It is estimated that the global minimum corporate tax of 15% will be implemented from January 2025.

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